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Crown Green Handicap

John Williams

Team: Naval ClubDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

846

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

12

Matches Played

7

Wins

5

Losses

58%

Win Rate

6.3

Avg Win Margin

12.0

Avg Loss Margin

5-2

Home Record

2-3

Away Record

9%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
12 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/23/2017

Only 12 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 154/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 12 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 Jun24 Jun8 Jul1 Aug12 Aug23 Jun-12510

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
58%
score+0.17→contribution+0.07
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
6.3
score-0.29→contribution-0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
12.0
score-0.67→contribution-0.10
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
58%
score+0.17→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
922
score+0.08→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score-0.080
Sample Size Confidence
9%(12/39 matches)
Rating960 → shrunk 996→ adjusted 846
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

7W5L12 matches·58.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Naval Club2016–2017League 2127558.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/23/2017c Paul PartridgeA2-21LOSS-19LeagueLeague 2
6/19/2017Jim TunleyH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
8/12/2016Les SharrocksH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
8/5/2016Michael HindsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
8/1/2016Tony MccolganH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
7/15/2016Roger MorganH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
7/8/2016Kath DaviesH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
7/4/2016Steve StonehouseA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
6/24/2016Maureen StonelyH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 2
6/17/2016Brenda CoppleA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
6/10/2016Barbara RydingH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
5/27/2016Len YeatesA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 1W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundEllen LevertonPensby21-10WINLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LWLLWLWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
c Paul Partridge0110%6/23/2017
Jim Tunley101100%6/19/2017
Les Sharrocks0110%8/12/2016
Michael Hinds0110%8/5/2016
Tony Mccolgan101100%8/1/2016
Roger Morgan0110%7/15/2016
Kath Davies101100%7/8/2016
Steve Stonehouse0110%7/4/2016
Maureen Stonely101100%6/24/2016
Brenda Copple101100%6/17/2016
Biggest Win
Maureen Stonely (+15)6/24/2016
Heaviest Defeat
c Paul Partridge (-19)6/23/2017
Best Season
201660% · 10 matches
Worst Season
201660% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
83% → 33%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8446 known · 6 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
3-350% win rate
League 258.3%
7W·5L·12 played

Debut

May 27, 2016

Latest

Jun 23, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

6.0 (12 total)

Seasons

20162017